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Owner
by Leo Mendelsohn
www.thehooksfootballpicks.com
Super Bowl Trends Looking Un-Super Like
Do not ever depend on a Super Bowl team to carry your
bankroll the next year. Over the past 10 years the winners
of the Super Bowl are a combined 58-79 ATS for a lousy 42%
win ratio following their Super Bowl victory. While the
losers of the Super Bowl are even worse the following year
at 64-94 for a 41% win ratio. Combined, that is a record
of 122-173 ATS for a low 41% win ratio.
A winning ATS record the following season for a Super Bowl
Participant has only happened 4 times out of 20 chances
the past ten years. (2 teams times 10 years = 20 chances)
The Pittsburgh Steelers went 10-7 for a 58% win ratio
after losing to the Dallas Cowboys back in Super Bowl XXX.
Denver had a winning record ATS twice, 12-7 (63%)
following their victory against Green Bay in Super Bowl
XXXII and after their victory against Atlanta in Super
Bowl XXXIII they went 9-5 (64%) the next year. Baltimore
barely finished over 50% at 9-8 (53%) after beating the
Giants in Super Bowl XXXV.
If you took away Denver's' awesome record of 21-12 (64%)
the other 18 chances for the Super Bowl participants went
101-165 ATS (38%).
Why is this? Some of it might have been due to the harder
schedule the following year but that scheduling format is
no longer existent. So you are probably thinking the
trends are getting better for the Super Bowl teams? Wrong,
the past 4 teams that made it to the Super Bowl have gone
18-43 ATS (30%). It might be free agency or lack of hunger
for the championship? Although St. Louis and Oakland, the
two previous Super Bowl losers, had no ring after their
Super Bowl letdown, they both went 3-12 ATS (20%) the year
after. So much for a hunger to win it all being an
incentive to play well.
So what the heck does this all mean? If trends continue
Carolina will go around 3-12 ATS this year while New
England will be around 6-10 ATS. New England was 6-10
following their victory over St. Louis and Tampa Bay was 6-
9 ATS last season after blowing the Raiders out. So be
careful and choose your spots when you take Carolina and
New England this year or better yet, look to bet against
them when the match-ups dictate so. If you are like most
of the public and like to bet on the favorite, it might
not be a bad idea to stay away from these teams
completely. The public will be all over them and the price
might be too steep to choose either team.
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